Name: Citrindex Hedge Portfolio
Creator: Ragnor

Rragnorcitrindex-hedge

Citrindex Hedge Portfolio

Long/short equity portfolio for the 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis scenario (Citrini Research). Longs: AI compute, power infrastructure, physical economy, safe havens. Shorts: SaaS disruption, white-collar displacement, intermediation destruction, interchange erosion, private credit contagion, consumer collapse. Positions mapped to scenario transmission mechanisms.

Scenario Themes Data

Scenario Themes records
Theme Name	Affected Sectors	Description	Impact Direction
AI Compute Buildout	Technology, Industrials, Real Estate	Insatiable demand for AI chips, GPUs, data center networking, and cooling infrastructure. NVDA posting record revenues, TSM at 95%+ utilization, hyperscalers spending $150-200B/quarter on data center ...	Bullish
AI Platform Operators	Technology	Hyperscalers and AI platform companies benefit from both cloud AI demand and their own productivity gains. They are the tollbooths of the AI economy — every displaced worker is replaced by compute run...	Bullish
Consumer Spending Collapse	Consumer Discretionary	Top 10% of earners account for >50% of consumer spending; top 20% ~65%. When these white-collar workers lose jobs or take 50% pay cuts, the consumption hit is enormous. Ghost GDP: output shows up in n...	Bearish
Essential Services	Healthcare, Industrials (Defense)	Healthcare and defense spending are non-discretionary. People still get sick regardless of AI displacement. Government defense budgets are insulated from the intelligence displacement spiral. These se...	Bullish
Intermediation Destruction	Consumer Discretionary, Real Estate	Agents remove friction that powered trillions in enterprise value. Travel booking, real estate brokerage, food delivery, insurance — any business built on monetizing human limitations. DoorDash moat w...	Bearish